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Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 31% confidence · analysed Aug 28, 2026

This analysis is from Aug 28, 2026 and may be out of date.

On Aug 28, 2026, our model rated Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM) WEAK BUY with 31% confidence at a price of $80.14. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

SectorConsumer Defensive
IndustryFarm Products
Market cap38630000000.0
Analysed price$80.14

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 51, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.

Volume is only 0.2x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 1.03, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 2.2% and revenue growth of +7.2%.

In its latest quarter it earned $1.84 per share, which beat the $1.44 analysts expected, with revenue +7.2% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 3.0 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "hold", with an average price target of $78.70.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 3, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $80.36, a target of $85.75 (+6.7%) and a stop-loss at $75.73 (-5.8%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.2 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 7, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$80.36
Target$85.75
Stop-loss$75.73
Reassess bySep 7, 2026

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.31 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 50.87, MACD bearish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.03, margin 2.2%, revenue growth 7.2%. Financial results: YoY revenue +7.2%, last EPS surprise +27.8%, next earnings 2026-11-03. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $80.36, target $85.75, stop-loss $75.73, exit by 2026-09-07 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for ADM

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Aug 28, 2026WEAK BUY31%$80.14—
Aug 18, 2026WEAK BUY30%$82.45-2.8%✘ wrong direction

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Other Consumer Defensive stocks we cover

APEI · BG · BTI · CL · DAR · DG · FLO · HRL · INGR · KHC · KMB · KO

Frequently asked questions

Is ADM a buy right now?

As of Aug 28, 2026, our automated model rates Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM) WEAK BUY with 31% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for ADM?

The model's most recent plan targets $85.75 with a stop-loss at $75.73, from an entry near $80.36.

When does Archer Daniels Midland Co report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 3, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.