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Century Aluminum Co (CENX) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 32% confidence · analysed Aug 31, 2026
This analysis is from Aug 31, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Aug 31, 2026, our model rated Century Aluminum Co (CENX) WEAK BUY with 32% confidence at a price of $46.95. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 32. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above its 50-day moving average but still below the 200-day: a short-term recovery inside a longer-term downtrend.
Volume is only 0.1x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $70.43 and the swing low is $21.48; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.06, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 22.6% and revenue growth of +19.7%.
In its latest quarter it earned $2.46 per share, which beat the $2.30 analysts expected, with revenue +19.7% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.0 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $70.00.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $45.61, a target of $51.87 (+13.7%) and a stop-loss at $40.31 (-11.6%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.2 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 10, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.32 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 31.51, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.06, margin 22.6%, revenue growth 19.7%. Financial results: YoY revenue +19.7%, last EPS surprise +7.0%, next earnings 2026-11-05. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 1 prior look(s). Suggested levels: entry $45.61, target $51.87, stop-loss $40.31, exit by 2026-09-10 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for CENX
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 32% | $46.95 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 32% | $46.78 | +0.4% | ✔ right direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is CENX a buy right now?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our automated model rates Century Aluminum Co (CENX) WEAK BUY with 32% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for CENX?
The model's most recent plan targets $51.87 with a stop-loss at $40.31, from an entry near $45.61.
When does Century Aluminum Co report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.