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Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 19% confidence · analysed Aug 28, 2026
This analysis is from Aug 28, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Aug 28, 2026, our model rated Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) WEAK BUY with 19% confidence at a price of $131.21. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 37. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is only 0.2x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $152.74 and the swing low is $106.15; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.94, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 15.7% and revenue growth of +25.7%.
In its latest quarter it earned $1.67 per share, which missed the $1.86 analysts expected, with revenue +25.7% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.5 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $177.73.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 18, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $129.94, a target of $134.43 (+3.5%) and a stop-loss at $123.70 (-4.8%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.7 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 7, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.19 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 36.75, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.94, margin 15.7%, revenue growth 25.7%. Financial results: YoY revenue +25.7%, last EPS surprise -10.2%, next earnings 2026-11-18. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bearish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $129.94, target $134.43, stop-loss $123.7, exit by 2026-09-07 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for CPA
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 19% | $131.21 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is CPA a buy right now?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our automated model rates Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) WEAK BUY with 19% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for CPA?
The model's most recent plan targets $134.43 with a stop-loss at $123.70, from an entry near $129.94.
When does Copa Holdings, S.A. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 18, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.