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EPAM Systems Inc (EPAM) stock analysis
WEAK SELL 13% confidence · analysed Aug 19, 2026
This analysis is from Aug 19, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Aug 19, 2026, our model rated EPAM Systems Inc (EPAM) WEAK SELL with 13% confidence at a price of $108.64. That means the signals lean negative, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 52, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above its 50-day moving average but still below the 200-day: a short-term recovery inside a longer-term downtrend.
Volume is only 0.5x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bearish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing low in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $222.53 and the swing low is $140.84; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 0.54, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 7.2% and revenue growth of +4.5%.
In its latest quarter it earned $3.38 per share, which beat the $3.14 analysts expected, with revenue +4.5% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.1 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $122.82.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's short / bearish plan uses an entry near $107.61, a target of $99.70 (-7.4%) and a stop-loss at $120.26 (+11.8%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Aug 29, 2026 whatever the price does.
Research notes
EPAM’s bull case is that it just posted a Q2 beat with $3.38 non-GAAP EPS and $1.415B revenue, while analysts still see upside and several firms recently reiterated Buy ratings with targets around $135 or higher. The bear case is slower revenue growth and softer forward guidance, with management lowering the full-year revenue outlook and citing weakness in North America, while the Street is mixed overall with a consensus closer to Hold. A major recent catalyst was the Q2 earnings release and guidance update, which also came alongside a large $632M buyback that retired about 7% of shares under the repurchase plan.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans SELL / avoid — composite score -0.13 (WEAK SELL). Technicals: RSI 51.55, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.54, margin 7.2%, revenue growth 4.5%. Financial results: YoY revenue +4.5%, last EPS surprise +7.6%, next earnings 2026-11-05. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bearish (trend continuation), price retesting a bullish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bearish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: neutral. Internet research: EPAM’s **bull case** is that it just posted a Q2 beat with **$3.38 non-GAAP EPS** and **$1.415B revenue**, while analysts still see upside and several firms recently reiterated **Buy** ratings with targets around **$135** or higher. The **bear case** is slower revenue growth and softer forward guidance, with management lowering the full-year revenue outlook and citing weakness in North America, while the Street is mixed overall with a consensus closer to **Hold**. A major recent **catalyst** was the Q2 earnings release and guidance update, which also came alongside a large **$632M buyback** that retired about **7%** of shares under the repurchase plan. Suggested levels: entry $107.61, target $99.7, stop-loss $120.26, exit by 2026-08-29 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for EPAM
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | WEAK SELL | 13% | $108.64 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is EPAM a buy right now?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our automated model rates EPAM Systems Inc (EPAM) WEAK SELL with 13% confidence: the signals lean negative, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for EPAM?
The model's most recent plan targets $99.70 with a stop-loss at $120.26, from an entry near $107.61.
When does EPAM Systems Inc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 5, 2026.
What does a WEAK SELL rating mean?
A WEAK SELL rating means the signals lean negative, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.