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JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 27% confidence · analysed Oct 13, 2026
On Oct 13, 2026, our model rated JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) WEAK BUY with 27% confidence at a price of $334.30. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 43. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.
Volume is only 0.7x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $331.01 and the swing low is $275.06; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.54, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 34.9% and revenue growth of +30.4%.
In its latest quarter it earned $6.14 per share, which beat the $5.80 analysts expected, with revenue +17.8% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.1 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $372.14.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $332.58, a target of $343.83 (+3.4%) and a stop-loss at $321.51 (-3.3%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.0 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 23, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.27 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 43.36, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.54, margin 34.9%, revenue growth 30.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +17.8%, last EPS surprise +5.9%. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation), price retesting a bearish order block. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 5 prior look(s); 100% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $332.58, target $343.83, stop-loss $321.51, exit by 2026-10-23 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for JPM
Of the last 4 directional calls on JPM, 4 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (100%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 27% | $334.30 | — | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 20% | $332.99 | +0.4% | ✔ right direction |
| Oct 9, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 16% | $331.42 | +0.9% | ✔ right direction |
| Oct 7, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 18% | $331.28 | +0.9% | ✔ right direction |
| Oct 5, 2026 | SKIP | 11% | $332.41 | +0.6% | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 24% | $333.18 | +0.3% | ✔ right direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on JPM
- Oct 14, 2026: Dont let AI manage your money, warns JP Morgan boss (The Telegraph)
- Oct 14, 2026: JPM, Citi, Wells Fargo Or Goldman Sachs: Which Big Bank Is The Better Buy After Q3 Results? (Stocktwits)
- Oct 14, 2026: Venture Head Says Goldman and JPMorgan Are Becoming AI Stocks (BeInCrypto)
- Oct 13, 2026: Review & Preview: Not a Bang but a Whimper (Barrons.com)
- Oct 13, 2026: JPMorgan vs. Citigroup: Which Big Bank Stock Is the Better Buy After Q3 Earnings? (Zacks)
- Oct 13, 2026: Former Berkshire Manager Combs Has Made $5 Billion of Investments at JP Morgan (Barrons.com)
- Oct 13, 2026: JPMorgan reports weaker-than-expected quarterly profit but forecasts current-quarter net interest income above Wall Street estimates (CP24)
- Oct 13, 2026: JPMorgan reports weaker-than-expected quarterly profit but forecasts above-estimate current-quarter net interest income (Associated Press)
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Frequently asked questions
Is JPM a buy right now?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our automated model rates JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) WEAK BUY with 27% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for JPM?
The model's most recent plan targets $343.83 with a stop-loss at $321.51, from an entry near $332.58.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.