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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) stock analysis

WEAK BUY 29% confidence · analysed Aug 21, 2026

This analysis is from Aug 21, 2026 and may be out of date.

On Aug 21, 2026, our model rated Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) WEAK BUY with 29% confidence at a price of $70.79. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

SectorIndustrials
IndustryTrucking
Market cap11520000000.0
Analysed price$70.79

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 56, showing healthy upward momentum without being stretched.

MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.

The price has slipped below its 50-day moving average but is still above the 200-day: a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend.

Volume is only 0.1x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.50, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 0.6% and revenue growth of +12.6%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.63 per share, which beat the $0.51 analysts expected, with revenue +12.6% year over year.

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 21, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Trade plan from the model

The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $71.24, a target of $75.83 (+6.4%) and a stop-loss at $66.97 (-6.0%).

That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1.1 to 1: the potential gain is not much bigger than the loss, so the setup is marginal.

The plan has a time limit: reassess by Aug 31, 2026 whatever the price does.

Entry$71.24
Target$75.83
Stop-loss$66.97
Reassess byAug 31, 2026

Research notes

KNX**’s bull case is that Knight-Swift still has strong analyst support, with consensus around *Moderate Buy/Strong Buy* and a target range around the mid-$80s, while investors are betting that improving freight conditions, tighter carrier capacity, and Knight-Swift’s scale can eventually lift margins and cash flow. The bear case is that near-term profitability remains compressed, valuation screens as rich on some measures, and the freight/logistics backdrop can stay weak if volumes, pricing, or integration costs do not improve quickly.

The main recent catalyst is the company’s quarterly dividend reaffirmation/declared cash dividend of $0.20 per share, which has reinforced the “steady cash return” story but was described as not materially changing the near-term setup. A second recent positive signal is fresh institutional buying, including Great Lakes Advisors’ reported $8.79 million purchase, which fits the broader theme of continued Wall Street support.

The model's one-paragraph read

Leans BUY — composite score +0.29 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 55.93, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.50, margin 0.6%, revenue growth 12.6%. Financial results: YoY revenue +12.6%, last EPS surprise +23.5%, next earnings 2026-10-21. FinGPT news read: positive. Internet research: **KNX**’s bull case is that Knight-Swift still has strong analyst support, with consensus around *Moderate Buy/Strong Buy* and a target range around the mid-$80s, while investors are betting that improving freight conditions, tighter carrier capacity, and Knight-Swift’s scale can eventually lift margins and cash flow. The bear case is that near-term profitability remains compressed, valuation screens as rich on some measures, and the freight/logistics backdrop can stay weak if volumes, pricing, or integration costs do not improve quickly. The main recent catalyst is the company’s quarterly dividend reaffirmation/declared cash dividend of **$0.20 per share**, which has reinforced the “steady cash return” story but was described as not materially changing the near-term setup. A second recent positive signal is fresh institutional buying, including Great Lakes Advisors’ reported $8.79 million purchase, which fits the broader theme of continued Wall Street support. Suggested levels: entry $71.24, target $75.83, stop-loss $66.97, exit by 2026-08-31 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).

Past ratings for KNX

Of the last 2 directional calls on KNX, 0 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (0%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Aug 21, 2026WEAK BUY29%$70.79—
Aug 19, 2026WEAK BUY19%$70.86-0.1%✘ wrong direction
Aug 18, 2026WEAK BUY18%$71.44-0.9%✘ wrong direction

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

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Frequently asked questions

Is KNX a buy right now?

As of Aug 21, 2026, our automated model rates Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) WEAK BUY with 29% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

What is the price target for KNX?

The model's most recent plan targets $75.83 with a stop-loss at $66.97, from an entry near $71.24.

When does Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 21, 2026.

What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?

A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.