The headline reads as negative (97% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The rest of the picture is mixed, so the headline alone is not enough for a clear call.
Stocks › NFLX
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) stock analysis
SKIP 9% confidence · analysed Oct 13, 2026
On Oct 13, 2026, our model rated Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) SKIP with 9% confidence at a price of $70.61. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.
SectorCommunication Services
IndustryEntertainment
Market cap316.58B
Analysed price$70.61
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 44. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.
Volume is only 0.7x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $108.95 and the swing low is $65.08; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.20, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 28.2% and revenue growth of +13.4%.
In its latest quarter it earned $0.80 per share, which beat the $0.79 analysts expected, with revenue +13.4% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.8 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $92.55.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 20, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Research notes
Netflix’s bull case remains anchored in double-digit revenue growth, pricing power, subscriber expansion, and advertising revenue targeted at roughly $3 billion in 2026, with live events offering additional ad inventory. The bear case is slowing engagement and growth, a lack of breakout English-language hits, intensifying competition, rising content and sports-rights costs, currency pressure, and a potentially narrowing moat. The major near-term catalyst is the October 20 Q3 report, where investors will focus on revenue versus roughly $12.86 billion guidance, ad growth, margins, and forward commentary. Latest information only partially supports the prior positive view: the long-term monetization thesis remains intact, but the stock’s roughly 23% year-to-date decline and two-year-low trading reflect worsening near-term sentiment despite consensus “Moderate Buy” ratings.
The model's one-paragraph read
No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.09 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 46.64, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.21, margin 28.2%, revenue growth 13.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +13.4%, last EPS surprise +1.3%, next earnings 2026-10-20. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure. FinGPT news read: neutral. Memory: 15 prior look(s); 43% of directional calls matched later price. Internet research: Netflix’s bull case remains anchored in double-digit revenue growth, pricing power, subscriber expansion, and advertising revenue targeted at roughly $3 billion in 2026, with live events offering additional ad inventory. The bear case is slowing engagement and growth, a lack of breakout English-language hits, intensifying competition, rising content and sports-rights costs, currency pressure, and a potentially narrowing moat. The major near-term catalyst is the October 20 Q3 report, where investors will focus on revenue versus roughly $12.86 billion guidance, ad growth, margins, and forward commentary. Latest information only partially supports the prior positive view: the long-term monetization thesis remains intact, but the stock’s roughly 23% year-to-date decline and two-year-low trading reflect worsening near-term sentiment despite consensus “Moderate Buy” ratings. Reference price $70.46; no trade levels (SKIP).
Past ratings for NFLX
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | SKIP | 9% | $70.61 | — | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 16% | $70.30 | +0.4% | ✔ right direction |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SKIP | 3% | $71.57 | -1.3% | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | SKIP | 1% | $68.69 | +2.8% | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | SKIP | 1% | $66.88 | +5.6% | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SKIP | 7% | $68.13 | +3.6% | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | SKIP | 4% | $70.30 | +0.4% | |
| Sep 29, 2026 | SKIP | 3% | $69.23 | +2.0% | |
| Sep 28, 2026 | SKIP | 3% | $69.65 | +1.4% | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | SKIP | 6% | $71.36 | -1.1% | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | SKIP | 4% | $72.18 | -2.2% | |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SKIP | 2% | $71.92 | -1.8% |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on NFLX
Oct 14, 2026 · NFLX Stock Dips Overnight: Netflix Faces Analyst Downgrade As Margin Concerns Persist Ahead Of Earnings
Oct 13, 2026 · Netflix Stock Downgraded To Sell Before Q3 Report
The headline reads as negative (69% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The rest of the picture is mixed, so the headline alone is not enough for a clear call.
- Oct 14, 2026: NFLX Stock Dips Overnight: Netflix Faces Analyst Downgrade As Margin Concerns Persist Ahead Of Earnings (Stocktwits)
- Oct 13, 2026: Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Apple, Netflix, Meta, Galaxy, SoFi, Viking, AT&T & more (CNBC Investing)
- Oct 13, 2026: Netflix Stock Downgraded To Sell Before Q3 Report (Investor's Business Daily)
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Frequently asked questions
Is NFLX a buy right now?
As of Oct 13, 2026, our automated model rates Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) SKIP with 9% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
When does Netflix, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 20, 2026.
What does a SKIP rating mean?
A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.