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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) stock analysis

SKIP 6% confidence · analysed Sep 18, 2026

This analysis is from Sep 18, 2026 and may be out of date.

On Sep 18, 2026, our model rated Restaurant Brands International (QSR) SKIP with 6% confidence at a price of $72.33. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

SectorConsumer Cyclical
IndustryRestaurants
Market cap35.07B
Analysed price$72.33

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 31. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is only 0.1x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure: bullish structure intact, no fresh break.

The most recent swing high is $81.22 and the swing low is $70.35; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Fundamentals

The PEG ratio is 0.88, which looks cheap relative to its expected growth.

The company reports a profit margin of 13.1% and revenue growth of +4.6%.

In its latest quarter it earned $1.07 per share, which beat the $1.04 analysts expected, with revenue +4.6% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.9 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $86.00.

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

Research notes

QSR’s bull case still centers on improving unit growth and execution at Burger King and Tim Hortons, a steady dividend near 3.4%, and fresh analyst support, including a recent upgrade to strong buy while consensus remains Moderate Buy with an average target of $84. The bear case is that the stock is already trading around the mid-$70s, leaving only modest upside to consensus, while the dividend payout ratio near 70% limits flexibility if sales or margins soften. The main recent catalyst is Seaport’s initiation/upgrade and the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings date in late October, which kept attention on growth and capital returns rather than any major negative surprise. The latest public information and recent price action mostly agree with the prior positive view, because the stock is only about 2.6% lower since the last $72.22 view and is still supported by analyst targets above the current price.

The model's one-paragraph read

No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.06 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 30.82, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 0.88, margin 13.1%, revenue growth 4.6%. Financial results: YoY revenue +4.6%, last EPS surprise +2.9%, next earnings 2026-10-29. Smart Money Concepts: bullish structure intact, no fresh break. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 3 prior look(s); 0% of directional calls matched later price. Internet research: QSR’s bull case still centers on improving unit growth and execution at Burger King and Tim Hortons, a steady dividend near 3.4%, and fresh analyst support, including a recent upgrade to strong buy while consensus remains Moderate Buy with an average target of $84. The bear case is that the stock is already trading around the mid-$70s, leaving only modest upside to consensus, while the dividend payout ratio near 70% limits flexibility if sales or margins soften. The main recent catalyst is Seaport’s initiation/upgrade and the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings date in late October, which kept attention on growth and capital returns rather than any major negative surprise. The latest public information and recent price action mostly agree with the prior positive view, because the stock is only about 2.6% lower since the last $72.22 view and is still supported by analyst targets above the current price. Reference price $72.21; no trade levels (SKIP).

Past ratings for QSR

Of the last 3 directional calls on QSR, 0 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (0%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Sep 18, 2026SKIP6%$72.33—
Sep 17, 2026WEAK BUY15%$74.21-2.5%✘ wrong direction
Sep 16, 2026WEAK BUY15%$76.15-5.0%✘ wrong direction
Sep 15, 2026WEAK BUY27%$76.54-5.5%✘ wrong direction

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

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Frequently asked questions

Is QSR a buy right now?

As of Sep 18, 2026, our automated model rates Restaurant Brands International (QSR) SKIP with 6% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

When does Restaurant Brands International report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Oct 29, 2026.

What does a SKIP rating mean?

A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.