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Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury (SCHO) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 17% confidence · analysed Sep 9, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 9, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 9, 2026, our model rated Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury (SCHO) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence at a price of $24.01. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 39. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is only 0.5x its 20-day average; light trading makes the latest move less convincing.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $23.94 and the swing low is $23.73; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bearish order block, a zone where large sellers stepped in before, so upside may stall here.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $24.00, a target of $24.03 (+0.1%) and a stop-loss at $23.95 (-0.2%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 19, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.17 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 39.34, MACD bearish, price above SMA50. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation), price retesting a bearish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bullish fair value gap, sitting inside an unfilled bearish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $24.0, target $24.03, stop-loss $23.95, exit by 2026-09-19 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for SCHO
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 17% | $24.01 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Frequently asked questions
Is SCHO a buy right now?
As of Sep 9, 2026, our automated model rates Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury (SCHO) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for SCHO?
The model's most recent plan targets $24.03 with a stop-loss at $23.95, from an entry near $24.00.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.