The headline reads as positive (94% confidence from the FinBERT financial-language model), so the stock went through the full analysis. The broader analysis agrees with the good news.
Stocks › VLO
Valero Energy Corp (VLO) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 13% confidence · analysed Sep 24, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 24, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 24, 2026, our model rated Valero Energy Corp (VLO) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence at a price of $381.02. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
SectorEnergy
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market cap109710000000.0
Analysed price$381.02
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 56, showing healthy upward momentum without being stretched.
MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is 2.0x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.86, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 5.4% and revenue growth of +51.7%.
In its latest quarter it earned $12.54 per share, which beat the $10.13 analysts expected, with revenue +48.8% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 2.4 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $360.32.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 22, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $384.96, a target of $405.54 (+5.3%) and a stop-loss at $352.03 (-8.6%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Oct 4, 2026 whatever the price does.
Entry$384.96
Target$405.54
Stop-loss$352.03
Reassess byOct 4, 2026
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.13 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 56.26, MACD bearish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.86, margin 5.4%, revenue growth 51.7%. Financial results: YoY revenue +48.8%, last EPS surprise +23.8%, next earnings 2026-10-22. FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 1 prior look(s); 50% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $384.96, target $405.54, stop-loss $352.03, exit by 2026-10-04 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for VLO
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 13% | $381.02 | — | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 13% | $382.20 | -0.3% | ✘ wrong direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Recent news on VLO
Oct 13, 2026 · Valero Energy Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day
- Oct 13, 2026: Valero Energy Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day (MarketWatch)
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Frequently asked questions
Is VLO a buy right now?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our automated model rates Valero Energy Corp (VLO) WEAK BUY with 13% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for VLO?
The model's most recent plan targets $405.54 with a stop-loss at $352.03, from an entry near $384.96.
When does Valero Energy Corp report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 22, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.