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AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 16% confidence · analysed Sep 10, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 10, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 10, 2026, our model rated AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) WEAK BUY with 16% confidence at a price of $24.80. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 33. Momentum is soft: below the neutral 50 line, but not yet oversold.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.
Volume is 1.5x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 1.81, which looks reasonably priced for its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 14.0% and revenue growth of +13.4%.
In its latest quarter it earned $0.44 per share, which missed the $0.52 analysts expected, with revenue +13.4% year over year.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 28, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $24.77, a target of $25.45 (+2.7%) and a stop-loss at $23.68 (-4.4%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 20, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.16 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 32.75, MACD bullish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 1.81, margin 14.0%, revenue growth 13.4%. Financial results: YoY revenue +13.4%, last EPS surprise -15.4%, next earnings 2026-10-28. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $24.77, target $25.45, stop-loss $23.68, exit by 2026-09-20 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for AMSF
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 16% | $24.80 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is AMSF a buy right now?
As of Sep 10, 2026, our automated model rates AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) WEAK BUY with 16% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for AMSF?
The model's most recent plan targets $25.45 with a stop-loss at $23.68, from an entry near $24.77.
When does AMERISAFE, Inc. report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 28, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.