Stocks › CMC
Commercial Metals Co (CMC) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 17% confidence · analysed Sep 10, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 10, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 10, 2026, our model rated Commercial Metals Co (CMC) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence at a price of $68.98. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 52, close to the neutral 50 line, so momentum is balanced.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above its 50-day moving average but still below the 200-day: a short-term recovery inside a longer-term downtrend.
Volume is about normal (0.8x the 20-day average).
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure: ranging / no clear structure.
The most recent swing high is $79.65 and the swing low is $57.19; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Price is sitting in a bullish order block, a zone where large buyers stepped in before.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 13.13, which looks expensive relative to its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 6.7% and revenue growth of +22.9%.
In its latest quarter it earned $1.73 per share, which beat the $1.71 analysts expected, with revenue +22.9% year over year.
Wall Street's average rating is 1.9 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "buy", with an average price target of $81.18.
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 15, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $67.71, a target of $70.56 (+4.2%) and a stop-loss at $63.32 (-6.5%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.6 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 20, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.17 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 52.4, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 13.13, margin 6.7%, revenue growth 22.9%. Financial results: YoY revenue +22.9%, last EPS surprise +1.2%, next earnings 2026-10-15. Smart Money Concepts: ranging / no clear structure, price retesting a bullish order block, sitting inside an unfilled bearish fair value gap. FinGPT news read: positive. Suggested levels: entry $67.71, target $70.56, stop-loss $63.32, exit by 2026-09-20 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for CMC
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 17% | $68.98 | — |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
Other Industrials stocks we cover
CP · CPA · DAC · DE · ETN · FDX · FERG · GE · GWW · HLMN · HONA · HRI
Frequently asked questions
Is CMC a buy right now?
As of Sep 10, 2026, our automated model rates Commercial Metals Co (CMC) WEAK BUY with 17% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for CMC?
The model's most recent plan targets $70.56 with a stop-loss at $63.32, from an entry near $67.71.
When does Commercial Metals Co report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Oct 15, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.