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Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock analysis

SKIP 2% confidence · analysed Oct 2, 2026

On Oct 2, 2026, our model rated Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) SKIP with 2% confidence at a price of $25.20. That means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

SectorReal Estate
IndustryREIT - Residential
Market cap4.18B
Analysed price$25.20

Technical picture

The 14-day RSI is 12, below 30, which is oversold territory: sellers have pushed hard recently. Oversold stocks often bounce, but they can stay weak for a while.

MACD is below its signal line, so short-term momentum is pointing down.

The price is below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of a downtrend.

Volume is 1.8x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.

Trend structure and money flow

Market structure shows a bearish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing low in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.

The most recent swing high is $30.68 and the swing low is $25.62; traders often treat these as resistance and support.

Fundamentals

The company reports a profit margin of 62.6% and revenue growth of +32.1%.

In its latest quarter it earned $0.76 per share, which matched the $0.76 analysts expected, with revenue +138.0% year over year.

Wall Street's average rating is 1.2 on a 1 (strong buy) to 5 (sell) scale, roughly a "strong buy", with an average price target of $37.17.

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 11, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.

The model's one-paragraph read

No clear edge (SKIP) — composite score +0.02 (SKIP). Technicals: RSI 11.62, MACD bearish, price below SMA50. Fundamentals: margin 62.6%, revenue growth 32.1%. Financial results: YoY revenue +138.0%, last EPS surprise +0.0%, next earnings 2026-11-11. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bearish (trend continuation), equal lows below (resting liquidity). FinGPT news read: positive. Reference price $25.2; no trade levels (SKIP).

Past ratings for MRP

DateVerdictConfidencePriceMove since
Oct 2, 2026SKIP2%$25.20—

"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.

Other Real Estate stocks we cover

NHI · NLY · NTST · NXRT · ORC · OUT · PMT · REFI · RITM · RYN · SPG · STWD

Frequently asked questions

Is MRP a buy right now?

As of Oct 2, 2026, our automated model rates Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) SKIP with 2% confidence: the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.

When does Millrose Properties, Inc. report earnings next?

The next earnings report is expected around Nov 11, 2026.

What does a SKIP rating mean?

A SKIP rating means the signals cancel out; the model sees no clear edge either way.

For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.