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Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) stock analysis
WEAK BUY 21% confidence · analysed Sep 4, 2026
This analysis is from Sep 4, 2026 and may be out of date.
On Sep 4, 2026, our model rated Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) WEAK BUY with 21% confidence at a price of $42.09. That means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
Technical picture
The 14-day RSI is 87, above 70, which is overbought: buyers have been very aggressive and a pause or pullback is common from here.
MACD is above its signal line, a sign that short-term momentum is turning up.
The price is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the classic picture of an uptrend.
Volume is 1.9x its 20-day average, so the latest move has real participation behind it.
Trend structure and money flow
Market structure shows a bullish break of structure (BOS): price broke a recent swing high in the direction of the trend, which usually signals trend continuation.
The most recent swing high is $41.03 and the swing low is $23.18; traders often treat these as resistance and support.
Fundamentals
The PEG ratio is 2.84, which looks expensive relative to its growth.
The company reports a profit margin of 24.5% and revenue growth of +94.2%.
In its latest quarter it earned $1.54 per share, which missed the $1.63 analysts expected, with revenue +94.2% year over year.
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026; prices often move sharply around earnings.
Trade plan from the model
The model's long / bullish plan uses an entry near $41.22, a target of $43.19 (+4.8%) and a stop-loss at $38.70 (-6.1%).
That is a reward-to-risk ratio of about 0.8 to 1: the potential loss is bigger than the gain, a weak setup.
The plan has a time limit: reassess by Sep 14, 2026 whatever the price does.
The model's one-paragraph read
Leans BUY — composite score +0.21 (WEAK BUY). Technicals: RSI 86.52, MACD bullish, price above SMA50. Fundamentals: PEG 2.84, margin 24.5%, revenue growth 94.2%. Financial results: YoY revenue +94.2%, last EPS surprise -5.5%, next earnings 2026-11-04. Smart Money Concepts: BOS bullish (trend continuation). FinGPT news read: positive. Memory: 9 prior look(s); 100% of directional calls matched later price. Suggested levels: entry $41.22, target $43.19, stop-loss $38.7, exit by 2026-09-14 (10-calendar-day max hold (time-stop; reassess by this date regardless of P&L)).
Past ratings for REPX
Of the last 10 directional calls on REPX, 10 pointed the right way by the most recent analysis (100%). Past calls do not guarantee future results.
| Date | Verdict | Confidence | Price | Move since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 21% | $42.09 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 27% | $41.06 | +2.5% | ✔ right direction |
| Sep 2, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 14% | $39.29 | +7.1% | ✔ right direction |
| Sep 1, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 24% | $39.05 | +7.8% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 31, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 21% | $38.96 | +8.0% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 28, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 19% | $37.97 | +10.9% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 27, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 16% | $37.37 | +12.6% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 26, 2026 | BUY | 36% | $37.30 | +12.8% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 25, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 22% | $37.20 | +13.1% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 24, 2026 | WEAK BUY | 21% | $37.42 | +12.5% | ✔ right direction |
| Aug 21, 2026 | BUY | 57% | $38.17 | +10.3% | ✔ right direction |
"Move since" compares each call's price with the latest analysed price.
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Frequently asked questions
Is REPX a buy right now?
As of Sep 4, 2026, our automated model rates Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) WEAK BUY with 21% confidence: the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low. This is a model output for education, not personal investment advice.
What is the price target for REPX?
The model's most recent plan targets $43.19 with a stop-loss at $38.70, from an entry near $41.22.
When does Riley Exploration Permian Inc report earnings next?
The next earnings report is expected around Nov 4, 2026.
What does a WEAK BUY rating mean?
A WEAK BUY rating means the signals lean positive, but they are mixed, so conviction is low.
For information and education only. Not investment advice. Ratings are produced by an automated model, can be wrong, and may be out of date. Do your own research; you can lose money investing. The site's author may hold positions in stocks discussed here.